The mystery of the expansion of sea ice around Antarctica, at the same time as global warming is melting swaths of Arctic sea ice, has been solved using data from US military satellites.
Two decades of measurements show that changing wind patterns around Antarctica have caused a small increase in sea ice, the result of cold winds off the continent blowing ice away from the coastline.
"Until now these changes in ice drift were only speculated upon using computer models, " said Paul Holland at the British Antarctic Survey. "Our study of direct satellite observations shows the complexity of climate change.
"The Arctic is losing sea ice five times faster than the Antarctic is gaining it, so, on average, the Earth is losing sea ice very quickly. There is no inconsistency between our results and global warming."
The extent of sea ice is of global importance because the bright ice reflects sunlight far more than the ocean that melting uncovers, meaning temperature rises still further.
This summer saw a record low in Arctic sea ice since satellite measurements began 30 years ago. Holland said the changing pattern of sea ice at both poles would also affect global ocean circulation, with unknown effects. He noted that while Antarctic sea ice was growing, the Antarctic ice cap – the glacier and snow pack on the continent – was losing mass, with the fresh water flowing into the ocean.
The research on Antarctic sea ice, published in Nature Geoscience, revealed large regional variations. In places where warm winds blowing from the tropics towards Antarctica had become stronger, sea ice was being lost rapidly. "In some areas, such as the Bellingshausen Sea, the sea ice is being lost as fast as in the Arctic, " said Holland.
But in other areas, sea ice was being added as sea water left behind ice being blown away from the coast froze. The net effect is that there has been an extra 17, 000 sq km of sea ice each year since 1978 – about a tenth of a percent of the maximum sea ice cover.
Antarctica is a continent surrounded by an ocean, whereas the Arctic is an ocean surrounded by a continent. For that reason, said Holland, sea ice was not able to expand by the same mechanism in the Arctic as at the southern pole, because if winds pushed the ice away from the pole it quickly hit land.
Holland did the research with Ron Kwok at Nasa's jet propulsion laboratory in California, where maps of sea ice movements were created from more than 5m individual daily measurements collected over 19 years. The maps showed, for the first time, the long-term changes in sea ice drift around Antarctica.
Kwok said: "The Antarctic sea ice cover interacts with the global climate system very differently than that of the Arctic, and these results highlight the sensitivity of the Antarctic ice coverage to changes in the strength of the winds around the continent."
南轅北轍:衛(wèi)星揭示為何南極海冰隨著北極融化而蔓延
二十年的觀測(cè)表明隨著南極風(fēng)帶的改變,南極周?chē)暮1诰徛鲩L(zhǎng),從大陸吹出的冷風(fēng)把海冰推離海岸線。
“一直以來(lái)海冰漂移的變化僅僅能依靠計(jì)算機(jī)上的模型推算出來(lái),”英國(guó)南極調(diào)查局的保羅·霍蘭德如是說(shuō),“我們對(duì)衛(wèi)星觀測(cè)的研究可以看出氣候的變化莫測(cè)?!?/p>
北極冰川融化的速度是南極海冰蔓延的五倍之多,因此,綜合來(lái)看,地球冰川融化的速度是相當(dāng)快的。我們的研究結(jié)果和全球變暖的實(shí)際影響是一致的。”
明亮的海冰因反射太陽(yáng)光而融化的面積遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)多于海洋自身的承受能力,這就意味著全球溫度依然在不斷升高,因此海冰的面積是相當(dāng)重要的。
縱觀三十年來(lái)衛(wèi)星的觀測(cè)數(shù)據(jù),今年夏天,北極海冰的面積是有史以來(lái)最稀少的。霍蘭德說(shuō)兩極地區(qū)海冰范圍的變化將影響全球海洋水循環(huán),所造成的影響還有待進(jìn)一步研究。他強(qiáng)調(diào)南極的海冰面積雖然在蔓延,但是北極冰川的冰蓋和陸地上積雪的表層都在大規(guī)模消失,融化產(chǎn)生的淡水都注入了大海。
在《自然-地球科學(xué)》雜志上發(fā)表的一篇對(duì)南極海冰研究的文章稱(chēng)海冰的變化還有很大的區(qū)域差異性。由熱帶地區(qū)吹向南極的暖風(fēng)變得越來(lái)越強(qiáng)烈,這些地區(qū)的海冰融化速度非????!霸谝恍┑貐^(qū),比如說(shuō)別林斯高晉海,海冰融化的速度跟北極一樣快?!被籼m德說(shuō)。
但是在其他地區(qū),海岸冰凍時(shí)期,海水結(jié)凍成冰并被吹離海岸,這無(wú)疑也增加了海冰的面積。從1987年至今,這些地區(qū)的海冰面積增加了17000平方千米——大約占了海冰面積最大 時(shí)候的10%.
南極是海洋包圍的大陸,而北極是大陸包圍的海洋,基于此,霍蘭德說(shuō),一旦風(fēng)把海冰吹離極地,冰很快就會(huì)撞向陸地,因此海冰是不可能擴(kuò)大的。
在加利佛尼亞州的美國(guó)國(guó)家航空航天局噴氣推進(jìn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室,霍蘭德和羅恩格共同研究搜集了19年,從個(gè)人的觀測(cè)總結(jié)創(chuàng)建了海冰運(yùn)動(dòng)的軌跡圖,從這些軌跡圖上可以首次顯示出長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)南極周?chē)1频膭?dòng)向。
羅恩格說(shuō):“兩極地區(qū)海冰的面積與全球氣候相互影響,然而南北極的影響卻是不同的。研究的結(jié)果把南極海冰覆蓋面積對(duì)大陸周?chē)L(fēng)力改變的敏銳度放在了突出的位置?!?/p>